Why Farage won't reform the House of Lords
And other musings
This article is going to include a lot of gloating, so to give balance - a bit of bread for the butter - let me begin with a mea culpa of my own: I overestimated the bottom floor of support for the Conservative Party.
We have published several articles on this Blog which have suggested that Nigel Farage and the Reform Party will have to form some sort of electoral pact if they want to get rid of the Labour Party by the time of the next election. This was also the assumption of various commentators/ex MPs on the right of the Tory Party (such as Jacob Rees-Mogg) - there would need to be some sort of ‘Season Unending’ summit between the two rival camps in order to slay Alduin/Sir Keir Starmer.
Well, it would appear that, in our timeline, the Dragonborn has already slain General Tullius inside Castle Dour. It is evident after the local elections that there is no need for Nigel Farage to make any sort of accommodation with the Conservative Party; the majority of voters in electorally important seats now see British politics as a straight choice between Starmer and Farage. Every poll shows interest in the Tories dropping by about 2% a week.
The hubris of making Kemi Badenoch leader of the Party after a needlessly long leadership contest has been more catastrophic for the Tories than previously assumed possible - they are so diminutive that they are no longer able to negotiate even as a junior partner. Barring the return of Boris Johnson this is no longer a salvageable situation before 2029.
The underlying arithmetic of my political analysis has now been recalibrated as a result, we no longer need to think in terms of how Farage can win an election (as this is now obvious) but what he would do when in power. This is important - Farage is currently responding to pressure from post-liberals to make obscene spending commitments whilst his tax policy includes even less revenue from ‘low earners’ (raising the personal income threshold) who are already caning it in with their swollen living wage entitlements.
If there is a financial meltdown thirty days into a Farage Government and he is ejected, we will be in revolutionary political conditions. If all three major democratic forces in Britain; the Tories, Labour and UKIP/Reform are given a chance sequentially, and in each case are found incapable of governing the country, then the country is clearly ungovernable through democratic means. The next steps at that point look like a vicious power-grab on behalf of the deep state and the beginning of low level domestic terrorism on behalf of those with anti-establishment views.
This is not alarmism; it is complacent and ahistorical to think that any population will continue to tolerate declining living standards indefinitely without the chance of peaceful political resolution. I have no doubt I will now be hung by the ‘Anglo-poaster’ faction as a traitor when they have their two weeks in power so it is in my interests to avoid this outcome.
It is for similar reasons that I am drawn emotionally towards a Boris comeback; as this would frustrate the careers and influence of the many hucksters and shysters who have bubbled to the surface of the Online Right in the past two years - Boris spends his time making lots of money and creating children with his much younger wife, he has never even heard of ‘djinn brain’ as a result - he can thus be relied upon to run a campaign on straightforward neoliberal populism c.2019, proper grown up politics.
What’s more, his return would smear excrement into the eyes of my critics who were arrogant enough to try and tell ME that MY analysis was unrealistic because “Boris doesn’t have a seat so he can’t be Tory Leaderrr durhhhhh”. I apologise to you, for assuming some minimum IQ floor on behalf of my readers. I assume that I do not have to spell out the fact that Boris Johnson has a large core of support within the Party and that if he decided to run for a seat there is little that blinkin’ Badenoch could do to prevent him given how wobbly her premiership already is.
You were lucky enough to hear about this incoming story in February of this year; now that it’s been reported on widely in the mainstream press and Alexander De Pfeffel is clearly on manoeuvres there can be no doubt - it is both very possible and very likely. For future reference, if you think that I have made a mistake, it is you who is mistaken. Do not even dream about making public criticisms of my writing from such a shrunken position.
This brings me, finally, on to the actual purpose this article, which is to discuss Nigel Farage’s plans for power. This article from May, titled “Farage should rule without a cabinet”, was praised widely but received criticism for being apparently ‘unrealistic’. The Premise of the Piece: Nigel Farage **should** use the House of Lords to fill his cabinet with technically able appointees and so bypass the sham cabinet system. The argument against: “GARRRRR BUT HE WON’T, *chains rattling* CONTRARIAN GERRR YOU’VE NOT READ THE 2015 UKIP MANIFESTO GUHHHEHHRRH.
In times past, a konungr would strike a thrall across the head for the mere impudence of speaking. We live today in gentler times, so I will address the argument squarely.